Europe and the Middle East & North Africa — generational comparison with a focus on Gen Z
Compiled from Pew Research Center, Arab Barometer, European Values Study, World Values Survey, Ipsos, Eurobarometer / European Parliament, PRRI and peer-reviewed journals.
Overview
Executive summary
Europe
A long, largely linear decline in institutional religiosity across successive generations, driven mainly by cohort replacement rather than individual aging. Gen Z is the least institutionally religious generation on record, though many retain diffuse spiritual beliefs.
MENA
Trends are less linear. Self-reported religiosity and trust in Islamist political actors fell between 2011 and 2019, especially among youth, followed by a partial rebound in personal piety after 2020 — while support for political Islam kept declining.
Shared thread
In both regions religion is increasingly individualized — a private, ethical reference point rather than a comprehensive institutional authority — a shift researchers label differently in each region.
Freedom of expression
European Gen Z ranks free speech and democratic rights among its top political values; MENA youth link expression more concretely to whether religion should structure the state and legislation.
Sources & method
All findings are drawn from publicly available survey and academic research: Pew Research Center, Arab Barometer, the European Values Study / European Social Survey, the World Values Survey, Ipsos, PRRI, the European Parliament's Eurobarometer Youth Survey, and peer-reviewed journals. Figures reported by secondary outlets are marked as such. Charts labelled “indicative” visualise the direction of change described in those sources rather than exact published percentages.
Part 1
Europe
1.1 Religiosity compared across generations
Multiple long-running datasets — the European Values Study, the European Social Survey and Pew Research — converge on the same pattern: each successive European generation is less religious than the one before it on standard measures such as worship attendance, self-rated importance of religion and religious belonging.
Academic research attributes this primarily to generational (cohort) replacement rather than people becoming less religious as they age. A 2022 study using European Social Survey data found that shifting human values help explain the decline beyond age alone.
A 2025 Nature Communications study found that secularization can unfold in stages: declining public ritual participation, then declining personal importance of religion, and finally declining formal belonging. Eastern Europe is a partial exception, as some post-communist countries experienced religious revival after the end of state atheism.
Institutional religiosity by generation, Western Europe
Each successive cohort attends less, rates religion as less important, and is more likely to be unaffiliated.
Source: European Values Study; Pew Research Center; Ipsos (2025); Nature Communications (2025)
Indicative pattern — direction of travel reported by the cited sources, not exact published percentages.
Indicator
Older generations
Gen Z / youngest cohorts
Source
Religiosity decline driver
Age alone does not explain lower religiosity
Cohort replacement: newer generations enter adulthood less religious
Koscielniak et al. 2022
Weekly worship attendance
Comparatively higher across most of Western Europe
Consistently lower
Nature Communications 2025; EVS
Should children be raised religious?
Higher agreement among older cohorts
Lower agreement among Gen Z
Survey Center on American Life 2025
Religiously unaffiliated
Smaller share, concentrated in older cohorts
Largest / growing share in many European countries
Coutinho 2024; Ipsos 2025
1.2 Religion's role in society and politics
Institutionally, religion's public role has receded across most of Western and Northern Europe. At the same time, religion continues to shape debates on migration, integration and national identity in several countries.
A notable nuance: migrants and their children in Europe often show higher and more stable religiosity than native populations, particularly among some non-Western religious groups.
1.3 Freedom of expression and values linked to religion
European youth surveys show that human rights, democracy, peace, freedom of speech and freedom of thought rank highly among Gen Z political priorities. A minority countertrend of renewed religious interest exists among some young Europeans, but it remains small against the larger secularizing pattern.
What European Gen Z prioritises politically
Relative priority weight (0–5) of value areas among respondents aged 16–30.
Source: European Parliament Youth Survey 2024 (Flash Eurobarometer)
Indicative pattern — direction of travel reported by the cited sources, not exact published percentages.
Part 2
North Africa & the Middle East
2.1 Religiosity compared across generations
Arab Barometer shows a non-linear pattern that differs from Europe's steady decline. Between the post–Arab Spring period and 2018–2019 the share identifying as “not religious” rose, especially among youth. The trend partially reversed in 2021–2022, when youth in several countries became less likely to describe themselves as not religious.
Algeria also appears in recent academic analysis as one of the countries showing a strong rise in self-identification as religious across later Arab Barometer waves.
Change in youth (18–29) identifying as “not religious”, 2018/19 → 2021/22
Percentage-point change. Negative values mean fewer young people describe themselves as not religious.
Source: Arab Barometer, “MENA Youth Lead Return to Religion” (2023)
Personal piety vs. trust in Islamist political actors
Piety dipped then rebounded after 2020; trust in religious political actors did not recover.
Source: Arab Barometer waves; academic literature on political Islam
Indicative pattern — direction of travel reported by the cited sources, not exact published percentages.
Indicator
Wave 5 (2018–2019)
Wave 7 (2021–2022)
Source
MENA-wide “not religious”
13% (all ages)
Declined from the 2019 peak
Arab Barometer
Youth “not religious”
18% region-wide
Declines in several countries
Arab Barometer 2023
Trust in Islamist parties
Low after major declines
Remained low
Arab Barometer / academic literature
Separate religion from politics
—
42% support vs 47% oppose (2025)
Arab Opinion Index 2025
2.2 Religion's role in society and politics
Public opinion on whether religion should shape governance remains closely divided and highly context-dependent. The 2025 Arab Opinion Index found 42% supporting separation of religion from politics versus 47% opposing it.
Recent scholarship also describes a movement among some young people toward individualized or digitally mediated religious understanding, alongside declining trust in traditional political and religious institutions.
Should religion be separated from politics? (Arab region, 2025)
42%
47%
11%
Support separation
Oppose separation
No opinion / other
Source: Arab Opinion Index 2025, Arab Center Washington DC
2.3 Freedom of expression and values linked to religion
MENA youth are heavy internet users, but online political expression remains much lower than general internet use. Taken together, these patterns suggest young people are becoming more selective and individualized in their relationship with religious authority, while personal faith remains resilient.
Part 3
Comparative summary
Europe vs MENA across six dimensions
Composite 0–100 index summarising the direction and strength of each pattern in the cited surveys.
Source: Author's synthesis of Arab Barometer, EVS, Pew, Ipsos and Arab Opinion Index data
Indicative pattern — direction of travel reported by the cited sources, not exact published percentages.
Dimension
Europe
MENA
Generational trend shape
Long, largely linear decline across generations
Non-linear: decline after 2011, partial rebound in personal piety after 2020
Religion & the state
Institutional separation largely settled in most Western/Northern Europe
Actively contested; regional opinion nearly split
Freedom of expression
Framed mainly as a democratic / civic value
Framed around political participation and religion–state relations
Individualization
Spiritual / private belief increasingly detached from institutions
Personal ethical compass increasingly detached from clerical / partisan authority
[3]Religiosity Decline in Europe (2022)Koscielniak, Bojanowska & Gasiorowska — J. Religion & Healthhttps://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10943-022-01670-x